State releases new modeling findings 

DENVER (April 6, 2020): The state health department received additional modeling results from an expert group of public health scientists today. The Colorado School of Public Health (ColoradoSPH) assembled the expert group, which relies on expertise from modeling scientists at ColoradoSPH and the University of Colorado School of Medicine at the CU Anschutz Medical Campus, as well as experts from the University of Colorado Boulder and University of Colorado Denver. The models produced by the expert group are local, meaning models are based on Colorado data and assumptions apply specifically to Colorado, not national assumptions.

Several key staff from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment spoke about the model’s results earlier today in a press conference that was broadcast for the public. The findings demonstrate the effectiveness of physical distancing in phase 1 -- cancelling mass gatherings, and the closing of bars and schools -- and the data provide projections for effectiveness of phase 2 physical distancing, including the Governor’s Stay-at-Home order through April 26.

The model results show that with physical distancing, the spread of COVID-19 has slowed in Colorado, but case counts are still increasing.

The Colorado model is now available to the public, as are the presentation slides.

The state will continue to review data and model findings as the pandemic continues to inform future policy decisions. 

Continue to stay up to date by visiting covid19.colorado.gov.

 

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